Comments on: U.S. Climate Change Report Out http://wildwildweather.com/forecastblog/2009/06/u-s-climate-change-report-out/ It's about Earth Science Sun, 21 Nov 2010 17:35:17 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.4 By: Mike Wilhelm http://wildwildweather.com/forecastblog/2009/06/u-s-climate-change-report-out/comment-page-1/#comment-1174 Mike Wilhelm Wed, 17 Jun 2009 20:44:36 +0000 http://wildwildweather.com/forecastblog/?p=1370#comment-1174 I am interested in what the new research projects 5, 10, 20, or 30 years down the road for the Tennessee Valley. I cannot imagine that these projections are any more than just a guess. Forecasting seven days out and beyond is tenuous enough. Even today the model output was way off on our high temperatures, perhaps due to the soil moisture. If the local projections are correct in 5-10-20 years I will start to believe. Even if the premise is true about how fossil fuel use contributes to climate change, how can they account for natural variances that they have no way of projecting? I am interested in what the new research projects 5, 10, 20, or 30 years down the road for the Tennessee Valley.

I cannot imagine that these projections are any more than just a guess. Forecasting seven days out and beyond is tenuous enough. Even today the model output was way off on our high temperatures, perhaps due to the soil moisture.

If the local projections are correct in 5-10-20 years I will start to believe.

Even if the premise is true about how fossil fuel use contributes to climate change, how can they account for natural variances that they have no way of projecting?

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